The characteristics of the hottest paper industry

2022-07-31
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The off-season characteristics of the paper industry become more and more obvious. The price trend of pulp is "distinctive"

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core tip: in July, under the pattern of the off-season characteristics of the paper industry becoming more and more obvious, the performance of various pulp markets at home and abroad is different, and the price trend is "distinctive"

[China Packaging News] in July, under the pattern of increasingly obvious off-season characteristics of the paper industry, the international and domestic pulp markets performed differently, and the price trend was distinctive

in terms of international pulp outer disc, the price of international bleached needle pulp outer disc fell sharply in July, with an overall decline of $30 - $40 per ton; The price of broad-leaved pulp has stopped rising continuously, and the price of some brands has started to fall. The price of some brands is relatively stable, and the overall trend tends to be soft; There is no obvious adjustment of natural color slurry and chemical mechanical slurry, and the low-level stability maintenance operation continues. 8. overall dimension (mm) (length × wide × Height): 780 × five hundred × 1800

as for the spot price of bleached needle pulp, the spot price of bleached needle pulp fell all the way in July, with a decline of nearly 50 yuan per ton per week throughout the month, until the last week of the month when the price began to operate stably. At present, the spot price of bleached needle pulp has reached a new low in recent years, and the breakthrough range is large. As the current price is low and upside down, some operators have suspended their active external quotation, focusing on actual orders and negotiations. It is worth mentioning that in the last week of July, the price of bleached needle pulp stopped falling and stabilized, and the quotations of some manufacturers and brands even rebounded. This is mainly because the price of bleached broad-leaved pulp rose this week, and the price of bleached needle pulp is about 200-300 yuan per ton lower than that of bleached broad-leaved pulp

at present, the paper industry is entering the high-temperature mode, and the production operation of the factory is difficult. Some small paper mills adopt the high-temperature shutdown and summer vacation policy. Finally, the operating rate of the factory is insufficient, and the demand for pulp is reduced. In addition, due to the military parade marking the 70th anniversary of the victory of the Anti Japanese War, paper mills in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Shandong and other regions will be shut down from late August to early September. This is bound to lead to a decline in pulp demand in these regions, but it does not rule out the possibility of increasing production by stocking up in the early stage. From the perspective of import volume and price, the current trend is not conducive to the later price rise. For example, in June, China imported 649700 tons of bleached needle wood pulp, an increase of 9.41% month on month. The average arrival price of bleached needle wood pulp in Hong Kong was US $656.5 per ton, down US $3.68 per ton compared with May. The import volume of bleached needle pulp increased and the price fell

the global export volume of bleached needle pulp increased in June, which indicates that the arrival volume of bleached needle pulp in August may continue to increase. With the decline in the price of bleached needle pulp and the rise in the price of bleached broad-leaved pulp, and the small volume of bleached broad-leaved pulp, many downstream factories are increasing the proportion of bleached needle pulp. There are also signs that factories are beginning to receive a large number of goods in the market, and the trading volume of bleached needle pulp may increase. In the state of oversupply in the off-season of the paper industry, it is difficult for prices to rise sharply. In the short term, most of them will be at the bottom of the narrow range consolidation operation, and will rebound again after the paper industry recovers

for the spot of bleached broad-leaved pulp, in July, the domestic imported bleached broad-leaved pulp market was not large due to the high external market in the early stage and the small amount of traders' offer; In the last ten days, Asia Pacific Senbo was forced to shut down due to the drought in Shandong, and the supply of bleached pulp in the market continued to decrease. These two reasons make the quantity of bleached broad pulp in China tight at present. The outer disc price began to fall partly since the continuous rising situation stopped in July. At the beginning of August, the outer disc prices of bulkuo and wukuo of Ilim company in Russia continued to organize and implement energy-saving services into enterprise activities. However, in the current off-season environment of the paper industry, the factors determining the price of bleached broad pulp are still dominated by the supply. If the supply is large, the price will fall, and if the supply is small, the price will rise. In the first ten days of July, the spot price of bleached broad-leaved pulp basically operated smoothly. After Asia Pacific Senbo announced the shutdown in the last ten days, the market supply became more and more scarce. Traders took the opportunity to raise their spot price of imported bleached broad-leaved pulp, and the increase was large. As a result, the spot price of bleached broad-leaved pulp at the end of July was 100-150 yuan per ton higher than that at the end of last year. At the end of July, the reference quotations in East and North China markets were: Eucalyptus Parakeet goldfish 4880-4900 yuan per ton, new star 4800 yuan per ton, folium 4800 yuan per ton, alpai 4800 yuan per ton. In the short term, the price of bleached broad pulp will remain high and firm, and will rise to a new high in the golden nine silver ten stage

in terms of the spot of natural color pulp, in July, the supply and demand of the natural color pulp market were weak, and the price was adjusted and operated in a narrow range. Some brand prices showed signs of weakening, with a decrease of 50 yuan per ton. Some brand prices still maintained stable operation. On the whole, the price fluctuation was not large. By the end of July, the reference prices of color paste in East and North China markets were 4400 yuan per ton for Jinxing, 4150 yuan per ton for Simpson, 4000 yuan per ton for Meihua and 4800 yuan per ton for Qiaoben. In July, the spot quantity of natural color slurry market increased, and the arrival quantity of natural color slurry in Hong Kong will continue to increase in the later period. It is difficult for the price to rebound in the short term, and most of them will maintain stable operation at a low level

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